← Health & Public Safety · The Record
TIER B Feb 24, 2026
Verified false or misleading claim

“And last year the murder rate saw its single largest decline in recorded history ... the lowest number in over 125 years.”

Scores: V 45, C 58, scored on September 27, 2026
Venue
State of the Union address to Congress
What the evidence shows

This one is partly true. The FBI's final 2025 figures put the murder rate at 4.1 per 100,000 after an estimated 18.1 percent drop from 2024, and the FBI says that rate "is tied with 1955 and 1956 for the lowest murder rate." That is a tie, not a new low, and national FBI estimates only begin in 1930. Before the final data, the Council on Criminal Justice projected about 4.0, which it said would be "the lowest rate ever recorded in law enforcement or public health data going back to 1900," but the same report cautions that standard practice is to anchor long-term comparisons to 1960 because earlier national data had weaker coverage and consistency. The decline also did not begin with Trump: FBI data showed murder fell 11.6 percent in 2023, at the time the largest one-year decline ever recorded. "The 2025 murder rate of 4.1 per 100,000 inhabitants is tied with 1955 and 1956 for the lowest murder rate." (Federal Bureau of Investigation, 2025 Reported Crimes in the Nation)

Sources

Sources verified: July 4, 2026

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One entry from Trexit's documented record. Tier A = contradicted by unambiguous documentary evidence; Tier B = has a true element or is genuinely contested, but materially misleading as stated. How we verify →